Bitcoin is seeing a lack of buying interest above $77,500, and Ethereum, which dropped to $2,150 yesterday, has now fallen below $2,100, keeping the chances of further decline.

Despite all the geopolitical events, there are no particular reasons to buy Bitcoin and Ethereum even at current prices.

A recent report from CryptoQuant indicated that average monthly Bitcoin demand has fallen to its lowest level since the beginning of 2026. This metric reflects real buyer activity in the market—and its drop to a yearly low coincides with already documented weekly statistics: the outflow from Bitcoin ETFs over the past week reached $1.26 billion, while BlackRock shifted hundreds of millions to Coinbase Prime twice over the week. This collection of data paints a picture of a market where sellers clearly dominate over buyers, and institutional capital prefers to secure profits rather than build positions.

However, there are positive aspects. For long-term investors, a drop in demand to extremely low levels has historically served as a counter-signal to buy. The logic is simple: when retail and institutional interest in an asset reaches its bottom, the market has typically already priced in most of the negatives, and there are few sellers left. It is during such times that patient investors with a multi-year horizon traditionally build positions at the most attractive prices. However, this story is not applicable to us as intraday traders, so it's more for understanding the situation rather than making decisions.

As for intraday trading strategies in the cryptocurrency market, the strategy and conditions are described below.

Bitcoin

Buy Scenario

• Scenario #1: I plan to buy Bitcoin today at an entry point around $77,000, targeting a move to $77,500. At $77,500, I will exit the buy trades and sell immediately on the bounce. Before buying on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.
• Scenario #2: You can buy Bitcoin from the lower boundary at $76,600 if there is no market reaction to breaking it back towards $77,000 and $77,500.

Sell Scenario

• Scenario #1: I plan to sell Bitcoin today upon reaching an entry point around $76,600, targeting a drop to $76,300. At $76,300, I will exit the sell trades and buy immediately on the bounce. Before selling on the breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price, and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.
• Scenario #2: You can sell Bitcoin from the upper boundary at $77,000 if there is no market reaction to breaking it back towards $76,600 and $76,300.

Ethereum

Buy Scenario

• Scenario #1: I plan to buy Ethereum today upon reaching an entry point around $2,101, targeting a rise to $2,117. At $2,117, I will exit the buy trades and sell immediately on the bounce. Before buying on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.
• Scenario #2: You can buy Ethereum from the lower boundary at $2,088 if there is no market reaction to breaking it back towards $2,101 and $2,117.

Sell Scenario

• Scenario #1: I plan to sell Ethereum today upon reaching an entry point around $2,088, targeting a drop to $2,074. At $2,074, I will exit the sell trades and buy immediately on the bounce. Before selling on the breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price, and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.
• Scenario #2: You can sell Ethereum from the upper boundary at $2,101 if there is no market reaction to breaking it back towards $2,088 and $2,074.